I think we should never assume that a single thought, word, or action that we would call “probability” has a “certain” probability.
Probability is a pretty loose term. You can use the word in a number of different ways, but you can also use it as a synonym for “chance.” For example, if you say, “I think it’s very likely that it’s going to rain on Wednesday,” you’re making a probability statement.
Probability is a pretty vague term, but it does seem to have an interesting sense of humor.
Probability is usually used in the mathematical sense, to describe a probability distribution. For example you could say that a coin tossed eight times will come up heads every time. The probability of this happening is 1/8. But you could also say that a coin tossed eight times will come up heads every time and the probability of this happening is 1/8. The probability of this happening is 1/8.
But I think there is also a psychological element to this, which is the idea that probability is not something that we as humans are privy to. It’s a mystery and it’s not something we can see, so we’re left to guess how probable it is. If your mother asks you whether or not you’ve seen a movie, you can say “No.” You can never say, “No, I haven’t seen a movie.
I’m not sure what exactly the psychological element is, but I think it’s probably related to the fact that probability is a relative thing. The more times we have seen a movie, the more likely it is that we see a movie again.
But if you look at movies, you see the same exact thing. We know we see the exact same thing because we’re conditioned to see the exact same thing. If we look at the same movie twice, our brains are conditioned to see the same exact thing. So if you look at a movie and decide you like it, that’s the same thing as if you look at it again.
For all you know, the same movie makes it extremely unlikely that you will see a movie again.
The problem with movies is they don’t really tell you the whole story. They leave out a lot of story and you have to figure it out as you go along. The movie does give you some hints, but they are mostly just things you already know. For example, I can tell you that The Matrix is the most famous movie ever, but if I look at it again after watching it, I might not know it is.
The problem is you have to figure out what the movie means to you. If you were to watch it again, the first time you might not know what the movie is about. You might see a great deal of action, but then in the second viewing you will see that most of it is boring and repetitive. The best examples of this were the first and last Matrix movies. The first one was a massive success, but as you start going through it, it starts to get repetitive and boring.